EarningsWatcher

Tesla (TSLA) implied move — live earnings data

Tesla (TSLA)'s next earnings date isn't confirmed in our dataset yet. Historical context below; live implied move appears here once options price the next report. Below: how that compares with what TSLA has actually done on earnings day, report by report.

Updated July 31, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology

10-yr average move
±9.4%
peak intraday, n=41
Beats its implied move
11 of 16
69% of reports since 2022

TSLA implied vs actual earnings moves

Each report: what options priced in beforehand (purple) vs the actual peak intraday move (green when it beat implied, grey when it stayed inside).

0%6%12%18%24%10/2301/2404/2407/2410/2401/2504/2507/2510/2501/2604/2607/26implied moveactual peak move (green = beat implied)

How TSLA's earnings moves are distributed

Percentile5th20thMedian80th95th
Move size±4.0%±5.3%±8.9%±12.0%±16.3%

Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±9.7%) is hotter than the 10-year average (±9.4%).

What is an implied move?

The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator.

Go deeper on TSLA

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