EarningsWatcher

ASML (ASML) implied move — live earnings data

ASML (ASML)'s next earnings date isn't confirmed in our dataset yet. Historical context below; live implied move appears here once options price the next report. The implied move — also called the expected move — is derived from live options prices. Below: how it compares with what ASML has actually done on earnings day, report by report.

Updated August 1, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology

10-yr average move
±5.8%
peak intraday, n=39
Beats its implied move
9 of 16
56% of reports since 2022

ASML implied vs actual earnings moves

Each report: what options priced in beforehand (purple) vs the actual peak intraday move (green when it beat implied, grey when it stayed inside).

0%5%10%15%20%07/2310/2301/2404/2407/2410/2401/2504/2507/2510/2501/2607/26implied moveactual peak move (green = beat implied)

How ASML's earnings moves are distributed

Percentile5th20thMedian80th95th
Move size±2.2%±3.2%±5.3%±8%±11.2%

Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±7.9%) is hotter than the 10-year average (±5.8%).

What is an implied move?

The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator.

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