AAR Corp (AIR) implied move — live earnings data
AIR options implied move for September 22, 2026 earnings (AMC): ±13.1%. As of September 17, 2026, the options market prices a ±13.1% earnings move for AAR Corp (AIR)'s next report. The implied move — also called the expected move — is derived from live options prices. Below: how it compares with what AIR has actually done on earnings day, report by report.
Updated September 17, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology
- AIR options imply a ±13.1% move for AAR Corp's September 22, 2026 earnings report (after market close), as of September 17, 2026.
- AAR Corp (AIR) has moved ±9.6% on average at the peak of earnings day over the last 10 years (40 reports).
- On its last report (July 21, 2026) AIR options had priced ±14.0% and the stock closed -9.8%.
- Simulator — likelihood of success and risk/reward for the exact straddle, strangle or spread you'd put on, against AIR's own 10-year reaction record
- IV Rush Radar — AIR's live IV curve vs its typical pre-earnings ramp, with the three snapshot signals and the projected straddle
- DriftLab — AIR's follow-through, gap-fill and drift scores for the days after the print
AIR implied vs actual earnings moves
Each report: what options priced in beforehand (purple) vs the actual peak intraday move (green when it beat implied, grey when it stayed inside).
How AIR's earnings moves are distributed
| Percentile | 5th | 20th | Median | 80th | 95th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Move size | ±4.6% | ±5.4% | ±9.9% | ±12.6% | ±15.7% |
Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±11.2%) is hotter than the 10-year average (±9.6%).
What is an implied move?
The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator. After the report, options typically reprice sharply — the IV crush calculator shows what an option is worth once implied volatility resets.
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For AIR and every stock on the calendar: beat probability against today's implied move, an IV-crush forecast for the morning after, a straddle simulator for this exact report, and the live IV-rush radar — the same data pipeline behind this page, pointed at your trades.