Pony AI (PONY) implied move — live earnings data
PONY options implied move for November 18, 2026 earnings (BMO): ±12.2%. As of November 13, 2026, the options market prices a ±12.2% earnings move for Pony AI (PONY)'s next report. The implied move — also called the expected move — is derived from live options prices. Below, each report's implied move is compared with what PONY actually did on earnings day.
Updated November 13, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology
- PONY options imply a ±12.2% move for Pony AI's November 18, 2026 earnings report (before market open), as of November 13, 2026.
- Pony AI (PONY) has moved ±14.4% on average at the peak of earnings day over the last 10 years (2 reports).
- Simulator — likelihood of success and risk/reward for the exact straddle, strangle or spread you'd put on, against PONY's own 10-year reaction record
- IV Rush Radar — PONY's live IV curve vs its typical pre-earnings ramp, with the three snapshot signals and the projected straddle
- DriftLab — PONY's follow-through, gap-fill and drift scores for the days after the print
PONY beyond the implied move
The implied move is the size of the move. Three more readings for Pony AI, from the same pipeline — the free summary here, the full tools for members.
How PONY's earnings moves are distributed
| Percentile | 5th | 20th | Median | 80th | 95th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Move size | ±11% | ±11% | ±17.8% | ±17.8% | ±17.8% |
Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±14.4%) is cooler than or in line with the 10-year average (±14.4%).
What is an implied move?
The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator. After the report, options typically reprice sharply — the IV crush calculator shows what an option is worth once implied volatility resets.
Everything on this page is free and refreshes daily. Members get the tools that turn it into a decision.
For PONY and every stock on the calendar: beat probability against today's implied move, an IV-crush forecast for the morning after, a straddle simulator for this exact report, and the live IV-rush radar — the same data pipeline behind this page, pointed at your trades.