EarningsWatcher

Pony AI (PONY) implied move — live earnings data

PONY options implied move for November 18, 2026 earnings (BMO): ±12.2%. As of November 13, 2026, the options market prices a ±12.2% earnings move for Pony AI (PONY)'s next report. The implied move — also called the expected move — is derived from live options prices. Below, each report's implied move is compared with what PONY actually did on earnings day.

Updated November 13, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology

Live implied move
±12.2%
as of November 13, 2026
Next report
November 18, 2026
before market open
10-yr average move
±14.4%
peak intraday, n=2
Key facts · cite as EarningsWatcher, November 13, 2026
Source: https://earnings-watcher.com/wiki/pony-implied-move · refreshed daily from live options data · free to quote with attribution and a link.
Turn ±12.2% into a decision for PONY's November 18, 2026 report — members get, for PONY specifically:
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PONY beyond the implied move

The implied move is the size of the move. Three more readings for Pony AI, from the same pipeline — the free summary here, the full tools for members.

IV rush
How PONY's IV builds into the report
No iv rush reading for PONY yet — what it is:
IV rush is the rise in option prices into a report as traders pay up for the move. PONY joins the IV Rush Radar about two weeks before its print; from then on members see its live IV against its typical pre-earnings ramp.
Momentum
What PONY does after the print
No momentum reading for PONY yet — what it is:
Post-earnings drift is whether the earnings-day move keeps going or fades over the following weeks. DriftLab tracks it per release; PONY's drift path is not in the tracked set yet.
Simulator
Your PONY trade, before you place it
No simulator reading for PONY yet — what it is:
A straddle only pays if the stock moves more than options priced — after the print, implied volatility resets and the premium collapses. The simulator rehearses PONY positions against its real reaction history.

How PONY's earnings moves are distributed

Percentile5th20thMedian80th95th
Move size±11%±11%±17.8%±17.8%±17.8%

Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±14.4%) is cooler than or in line with the 10-year average (±14.4%).

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This week's implied-move card: every notable earnings release placed by its options-implied move

What is an implied move?

The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator. After the report, options typically reprice sharply — the IV crush calculator shows what an option is worth once implied volatility resets.

Everything on this page is free and refreshes daily. Members get the tools that turn it into a decision.

For PONY and every stock on the calendar: beat probability against today's implied move, an IV-crush forecast for the morning after, a straddle simulator for this exact report, and the live IV-rush radar — the same data pipeline behind this page, pointed at your trades.

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