Microsoft (MSFT) implied move — live earnings data
Microsoft (MSFT)'s next earnings date isn't confirmed in our dataset yet. Historical context below; live implied move appears here once options price the next report. Below: how that compares with what MSFT has actually done on earnings day, report by report.
Updated July 31, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology
MSFT implied vs actual earnings moves
Each report: what options priced in beforehand (purple) vs the actual peak intraday move (green when it beat implied, grey when it stayed inside).
How MSFT's earnings moves are distributed
| Percentile | 5th | 20th | Median | 80th | 95th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Move size | ±1.4% | ±2.8% | ±4.6% | ±6.9% | ±9.4% |
Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±7.7%) is hotter than the 10-year average (±5.0%).
What is an implied move?
The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator.
Go deeper on MSFT
Members simulate MSFT earnings positions with realistic IV crush, scan the live radar, and see the full move history.