What is SHOP's implied move for earnings?

As of July 31, 2026, options price a ±12.9% move for SHOP's August 5, 2026 earnings report. The implied move is derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report.

When does SHOP report earnings?

Shopify is scheduled to report on August 5, 2026, before the market opens. Dates can change — confirm on a live calendar.

Does SHOP beat its implied move?

In 11 of its last 16 reports (69%), SHOP's peak intraday earnings move exceeded what options had priced in beforehand.

How big does SHOP usually move on earnings?

SHOP averages a ±13.3% earnings move over the last 10 years (peak intraday move; n=40). The middle of the distribution (median) is ±12.5%, and the 95th-percentile tail is ±25.0%.

Shopify (SHOP) implied move — live earnings data

As of July 31, 2026, the options market prices a ±12.9% earnings move for Shopify (SHOP)'s next report on August 5, 2026 (BMO). Below: how that compares with what SHOP has actually done on earnings day, report by report.

Updated July 31, 2026 · refreshed daily from live options data · methodology

Live implied move

±12.9%

as of July 31, 2026

Next report

August 5, 2026

before market open

10-yr average move

±13.3%

peak intraday, n=40

Beats its implied move

11 of 16

69% of reports since 2022

SHOP implied vs actual earnings moves

Each report: what options priced in beforehand (purple) vs the actual peak intraday move (green when it beat implied, grey when it stayed inside).

How SHOP's earnings moves are distributed

Percentile	5th	20th	Median	80th	95th
Move size	±5.0%	±7.7%	±12.5%	±19.1%	±25.0%

Recent regime: the 2-year average move (±15.7%) is hotter than the 10-year average (±13.3%).

What is an implied move?

The implied move is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a market price, not a forecast. Learn more: how to calculate the implied move, or try the expected move calculator.