Reddit (RDDT) has a heating two-year regime (±17.2% vs ±16.6% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 28, 2026 (MCP peak move, 10y defaults).
RDDT earnings at a glance
RDDT’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±17.4%, with the last two years at ±17.2% (heating). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±44.7%.
Does RDDT beat its implied move?
The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. RDDT’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 50% of recent reports with tracked implieds (5 of 10).
history
How RDDT’s moves are distributed
Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.
Headline (MCP): RDDT averages a ±16.6% earnings move over the last 10 years (peak intraday move; n=9). Short history — live implied ~±12.5% sits below the decade average, with a heavy ±44.7% tail.
IV rush, IV crush, and what the data means for options
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app. A straddle or strangle needs the actual move to exceed the implied to pay; an iron condor needs it smaller.
Risks & common mistakes
- Treating the live implied move as a prediction rather than a priced range.
- Ignoring the 95th-percentile tail when sizing risk.
- Confusing average history with this quarter’s setup — regimes change.
How EarningsWatcher helps
EarningsWatcher puts the live implied move, historical peak-move distribution, beat rate, simulator, and journaling in one place so you can research RDDT around earnings without stitching screenshots.
FAQ
When is Reddit (RDDT) earnings date?
Reddit reported on Thursday, July 30, 2026, after the market close.
What is RDDT's implied move for earnings July 30, 2026?
Options priced a plus or minus 12.5% move into the July 30, 2026 report. The realised move is published once the following full session completes.
How much does RDDT move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, RDDT's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 16.6%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 17.2%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 44.7%.
Does RDDT usually beat its implied move?
About 50% of recent reports with tracked implieds (5 of 10). Sample is short — treat the rate carefully.
Education only. Not investment advice. Historical figures (July 28, 2026) do not predict future moves. Last updated: July 2026.
