MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a stable two-year regime (±8.6% vs ±8.8% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 23, 2026 (MCP peak move, 10y defaults).
MSTR earnings at a glance
MSTR’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±8.8%, with the last two years at ±8.6% (stable). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±20.4%.
Does MSTR beat its implied move?
The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. MSTR’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 57% of recent reports with tracked implieds (4 of 7).
history
How MSTR’s moves are distributed
Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.
Recent MSTR earnings
Headline (MCP): MSTR averages a ±8.8% earnings move over the last 10 years (peak; n=40). Live implied (~±8.2%) sits above the decade average — rich vs history into July 30.
IV rush and IV crush on MSTR
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What MSTR’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app. A straddle or strangle needs the actual move to exceed the implied to pay; an iron condor needs it smaller.
Frequently asked questions
When is MicroStrategy (MSTR) earnings date?
MicroStrategy reported on Thursday, July 30, 2026, after the market close.
What is MSTR's implied move for earnings July 30, 2026?
Options priced a plus or minus 8.2% move into the July 30, 2026 report. The realised move is published once the following full session completes.
How much does MSTR move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, MSTR's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 8.8%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 8.6%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 20.4%.
Does MSTR usually beat its implied move?
About 57% of recent reports with tracked implieds (4 of 7).