- NVDA options imply a ±6.3% move for Nvidia's Aug 26, 2026 earnings report (after market close), as of August 21, 2026.
- Nvidia has moved ±8.3% on average at the peak of earnings day over the last 10 years; the median is ±6.5% and the 95th percentile ±20.1%.
- NVDA's actual earnings move exceeded what options had priced in 4 of its last 16 reports (25%).
- Last report (May 20, 2026): options priced ±5.9%, the stock closed -1.8%.
What options price vs what NVDA has done
NVDA's last five reports: priced vs happened
| Report | Options priced | Close move | Peak move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | ±5.9% | -1.8% | -2.5% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | ±6.1% | -5.5% | -5.8% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | ±7.2% | -3.2% | +5.1% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | ±6.6% | -0.8% | -2.9% |
| May 28, 2025 | ±6.8% | +3.2% | +6.4% |
Full 10-year table and the live number all season: NVDA implied-move page · season-wide scoreboard: Q3 implied-vs-actual tracker.
The week before: NVDA's IV rush
That climb is tradeable — and it ends at the print. How members play it: the IV Rush Radar draws NVDA's live IV against its typical ramp with three entry signals and a projected straddle. Free breakdown: NVDA before earnings.
The weeks after: does the move hold?
The reaction close is the start, not the story — DriftLab scores NVDA's follow-through, gap-fill odds and drift strength for members. Free breakdown: NVDA after earnings.
- Simulator — build the exact NVDA position and see its likelihood of success and risk/reward against ten years of reactions, with real IV crush modelled
- IV Rush Radar — NVDA's live pre-earnings IV curve, three snapshot signals, projected straddle
- DriftLab — follow-through, gap-fill and drift scores for the days after
- Data Picks — the week's scored ideas across five strategies, NVDA week included
Frequently asked questions
When is NVDA's August 2026 earnings report?
Nvidia reports on Aug 26, 2026, after market close — 4:00 pm ET (results shortly after). Dates can change; this page refreshes daily.
What is the expected move for NVDA earnings?
Options currently price a ±6.3% move (the implied move) for the Aug 26, 2026 report. For context, NVDA's 10-year average peak move is ±8.3%, the median ±6.5% and the 95th-percentile tail ±20.1%.
Will NVDA beat earnings — can this page predict the move?
No page can predict direction, and this one does not try. What is measurable: how big a move options price, how that compared with what actually happened in each past report (4 of 16 beat the implied), and how the stock has behaved before and after prints. Decision tools — the simulator's likelihood of success, the IV Rush signals, DriftLab's follow-through scores — are for EarningsWatcher members.
What usually happens to NVDA stock after earnings?
Over its tracked reports NVDA's earnings-day close averaged ±6.4% with the biggest single-day close at +24.4%. The day-by-day record — and whether moves follow through or fade — is on the NVDA after-earnings page and in DriftLab.