Earnings implied moves: week of Oct 19–23, 2026
What the options market is pricing in for this week's earnings reports. Biggest implied (expected) moves: MOH ±15.2%, ALK ±13.2%, BBD ±12.9%, BE ±12.8%, SAM ±12.2%. Tables update daily through the week; after Friday this page stays as a dated archive.
Updated October 16, 2026 · interactive calendar · season implied-vs-actual tracker · past weeks: Oct 13, Oct 6, Oct 5, Sep 28, Sep 22, Sep 14, Sep 8, Aug 31, Aug 24, Aug 17, Aug 10, Aug 3, Jul 21
Monday, October 19
| Stock | Session | Implied move | Avg move (10y) | Last move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLF | BMO | ±12.1% | ±11.8% | +21.3% |
| STLD | AMC | ±10.2% | ±5.3% | +4.1% |
| WAL | AMC | ±10.1% | ±6.2% | +4.3% |
| ZION | AMC | ±8.0% | ±5.2% | -5.8% |
| FITB | BMO | ±7.1% | ±3.8% | -7.4% |
| AGNC | AMC | ±3.8% | ±2.8% | +2.2% |
Implied moves for October 19, one per name
- CLF (Cleveland Cliffs Inc) options implied move for October 19, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±12.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±11.8%.
- STLD (Steel Dynamics Inc) options implied move for October 19, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±10.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.3%.
- WAL (Western Alliance Bancorporation) options implied move for October 19, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±10.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.2%.
- ZION (Zions Bancorporation NA) options implied move for October 19, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±8.0%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.2%.
- FITB (Fifth Third Bancorp) options implied move for October 19, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±7.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±3.8%.
- AGNC (AGNC Investment Corporation) options implied move for October 19, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±3.8%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±2.8%.
Tuesday, October 20
| Stock | Session | Implied move | Avg move (10y) | Last move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | AMC | ±13.2% | ±5.6% | -8.8% |
| EFX | BMO | ±12.0% | ±7.1% | -13.9% |
| HAS | BMO | ±10.6% | ±9.5% | +14.0% |
| NFLX | AMC | ±9.5% | ±10.5% | -12.5% |
| NOC | BMO | ±8.1% | ±5.0% | -8.6% |
| ISRG | AMC | ±7.9% | ±7.1% | -14.4% |
| UAL | AMC | ±6.9% | ±7.2% | -4.1% |
| GE | BMO | ±6.2% | ±7.0% | -6.6% |
| MMM | BMO | ±6.1% | ±6.2% | +10.7% |
| GM | BMO | ±6.1% | ±6.3% | +5.7% |
| HAL | BMO | ±5.8% | ±4.5% | -7.8% |
| RTX | BMO | ±5.4% | ±6.2% | +9.5% |
| COF | AMC | ±5.1% | ±5.5% | -3.6% |
Implied moves for October 20, one per name
- ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±13.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.6%.
- EFX (Equifax Inc) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±12.0%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.1%.
- HAS (Hasbro Inc) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±10.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±9.5%.
- NFLX (Netflix Inc) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±9.5%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±10.5%.
- NOC (Northrop Grumman Corp Holding Co) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±8.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.0%.
- ISRG (Intuitive Surgical Inc) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±7.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.1%.
- UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±6.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.2%.
- GE (General Electric Company) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.0%.
- MMM (3M Co) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.2%.
- GM (General Motors Company) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.3%.
- HAL (Halliburton Co) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.8%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.5%.
- RTX (Raytheon Technologies Corporation) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.4%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.2%.
- COF (Capital One Financial Corporation) options implied move for October 20, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±5.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.5%.
Wednesday, October 21
| Stock | Session | Implied move | Avg move (10y) | Last move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOH | AMC | ±15.2% | ±10.2% | -13.3% |
| ELV | BMO | ±8.9% | ±6.3% | -11.9% |
| LRCX | AMC | ±8.7% | ±7.0% | +26.6% |
| TXN | AMC | ±8.6% | ±6.1% | -6.8% |
| TSLA | AMC | ±7.6% | ±9.6% | -15.6% |
| IBM | AMC | ±7.6% | ±7.1% | -3.2% |
| SAP | AMC | ±7.2% | ±5.1% | +10.2% |
| MCO | BMO | ±7.1% | ±4.3% | -1.6% |
| DHR | BMO | ±7.0% | ±5.4% | -17.6% |
| META | AMC | ±6.9% | ±10.4% | -10.4% |
| LUV | AMC | ±6.9% | ±6.7% | -6.8% |
| LVS | AMC | ±6.5% | ±6.2% | +3.3% |
| TMO | BMO | ±6.3% | ±5.2% | +11.6% |
| ABT | BMO | ±5.5% | ±4.7% | +14.1% |
| CSX | AMC | ±5.1% | ±5.1% | +6.8% |
| PM | BMO | ±4.7% | ±5.2% | +6.2% |
| T | BMO | ±4.6% | ±5.3% | +6.2% |
Implied moves for October 21, one per name
- MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±15.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±10.2%.
- ELV (ELV) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±8.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.3%.
- LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±8.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.0%.
- TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±8.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.1%.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±7.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±9.6%.
- IBM (International Business Machines Corp) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±7.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.1%.
- SAP (SAP SE) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±7.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.1%.
- MCO (Moodys Corp) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±7.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.3%.
- DHR (Danaher Corporation) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±7.0%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.4%.
- META (Meta Platforms Inc) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±6.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±10.4%.
- LUV (Southwest Airlines Co) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±6.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.7%.
- LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±6.5%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.2%.
- TMO (Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.3%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.2%.
- ABT (Abbott Laboratories) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.5%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.7%.
- CSX (CSX Corporation) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±5.1%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.1%.
- PM (Philip Morris International Inc) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±4.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.2%.
- T (AT&T Inc) options implied move for October 21, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±4.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.3%.
Thursday, October 22
| Stock | Session | Implied move | Avg move (10y) | Last move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBD | AMC | ±12.9% | ±4.4% | -2.0% |
| BE | AMC | ±12.8% | ±16.5% | +11.3% |
| SAM | AMC | ±12.2% | ±11.0% | +4.2% |
| DECK | AMC | ±10.7% | ±11.3% | -4.6% |
| WDC | AMC | ±9.8% | ±9.4% | -21.5% |
| NOK | BMO | ±9.8% | ±3.3% | -5.8% |
| SPOT | BMO | ±9.6% | ±11.7% | -5.0% |
| VLO | BMO | ±7.0% | ±4.6% | +4.1% |
| AAL | BMO | ±6.7% | ±7.2% | -10.0% |
| CMCSA | BMO | ±6.6% | ±6.1% | -6.8% |
| DOW | BMO | ±6.4% | ±5.7% | +4.7% |
| BX | BMO | ±5.9% | ±4.7% | +3.0% |
| NEM | AMC | ±5.6% | ±5.6% | -2.3% |
| HON | BMO | ±5.6% | ±4.2% | +7.4% |
| PHM | BMO | ±5.2% | ±6.0% | +3.9% |
| LMT | BMO | ±4.9% | ±4.8% | +12.0% |
| UNP | BMO | ±4.4% | ±5.0% | +8.0% |
| PG | BMO | ±3.7% | ±3.9% | -5.8% |
Implied moves for October 22, one per name
- BBD (BBD) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±12.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.4%.
- BE (Bloom Energy Corporation) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±12.8%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±16.5%.
- SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±12.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±11.0%.
- DECK (Deckers Outdoor) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±10.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±11.3%.
- WDC (Western Digital Corporation) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±9.8%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±9.4%.
- NOK (Nokia Oyj) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±9.8%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±3.3%.
- SPOT (Spotify Technology SA) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±9.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±11.7%.
- VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±7.0%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.6%.
- AAL (American Airlines Group Inc) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±7.2%.
- CMCSA (Comcast Corporation) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.1%.
- DOW (Dow Inc) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.4%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.7%.
- BX (Blackstone Group Inc) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.7%.
- NEM (Newmont Corporation) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (after market close): ±5.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.6%.
- HON (Honeywell International Inc) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.6%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.2%.
- PHM (PulteGroup Inc) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.2%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.0%.
- LMT (Lockheed Martin Corp) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±4.9%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.8%.
- UNP (Union Pacific Corp) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±4.4%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.0%.
- PG (Procter and Gamble Co) options implied move for October 22, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±3.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±3.9%.
Friday, October 23
| Stock | Session | Implied move | Avg move (10y) | Last move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALV | BMO | ±8.7% | ±6.7% | -6.6% |
| SLB | BMO | ±6.7% | ±4.8% | +11.4% |
| AXP | BMO | ±5.5% | ±5.2% | -6.6% |
Implied moves for October 23, one per name
- ALV (Autoliv Inc) options implied move for October 23, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±8.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±6.7%.
- SLB (Schlumberger Ltd) options implied move for October 23, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±6.7%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±4.8%.
- AXP (American Express Company) options implied move for October 23, 2026 earnings (before market open): ±5.5%. Its average earnings move over the last 10 years is ±5.2%.
Cite this page: EarningsWatcher, "Earnings Implied Moves: Oct 19–23, 2026 (Weekly Report)",
earnings-watcher.com/wiki/earnings-implied-moves-2026-10-19 (updated October 16, 2026). Free to reference with attribution + link.
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Frequently asked questions
What is an implied move?
The implied move — also called the expected move — is the size of the earnings-day move the options market is pricing in, typically derived from the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the report. It is a magnitude, not a direction.
Which stock has the biggest implied move the week of Oct 19–23, 2026?
As of October 16, 2026, the largest implied moves in this week's preview are MOH ±15.2%, ALK ±13.2%, BBD ±12.9%, BE ±12.8%, SAM ±12.2%.
Do these numbers change?
Yes — implied moves change with option prices, and this page updates daily through its week. After the week ends it is kept as a dated archive.
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