- SPOT has moved in the same direction as TKO's earnings reaction in 89% of 9 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±2.2% — ×1.5 its normal daily move.
- EarningsWatcher tracks 1 quality-gated sympathy peers for TKO: SPOT.
- When TKO's earnings reaction is positive, SPOT's median same-day move is +3.0%; when negative, -0.3%.
All measured sympathy peers for TKO
Every peer below passed the gates — enough events, direction consistency well above a coin flip, and a move meaningfully bigger than its normal day. Nobody else publishes this measurement; it exists because EarningsWatcher computes it from every TKO report, with the peer's own earnings days and heavy market days excluded.
| Peer | Same direction | Typical move | vs normal day | Sympathy score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPOT | 89% of 9 | ±2.2% | ×1.5 | ▮▮ |
- the 0–100 sympathy score for each pair (direction consistency + amplification + correlation, discounted for small samples)
- each peer's live ATM straddle with an honest 1-day breakeven — the move it must beat by the reaction-day close
- historical beat rates from real option prices: how often past TKO reports beat that same hurdle
- direction splits, gap-vs-peak timing, and an event-by-event history for every pair
- the week's best pairs delivered as P0/P1/P2 sympathy picks
Why trade the peer instead of TKO itself?
Options on TKO are expensive into the print — the expected move is priced in, and implied volatility collapses the moment results land. SPOT has no event that day: its options are priced for a normal session, and measured across our pairs the median change in peer IV through a reporter's print is roughly zero. The sympathy trade turns TKO's report into a position with a normal-day hurdle instead of an event-premium hurdle. New to the concept? Read what a sympathy play is, then see this week's live board.
Frequently asked questions
Which stocks move when TKO reports earnings?
Measured over up to ten years of TKO's earnings days, the strongest sympathy peer is SPOT: same direction as TKO's reaction in 89% of 9 tracked reports, median same-day move ±2.2%.
Are stocks like TKO worth watching on its earnings day?
That is exactly what a sympathy play is: TKO's report reprices companies with the same customers and economics, so 'stocks like TKO' often move the same day — without an earnings event of their own. The size is usually smaller than TKO's own move (SPOT: ±2.2% vs a normal day ×1.5), but the peer's options carry no event premium, so there is no IV crush to pay.
Is SPOT correlated with TKO?
On TKO's earnings days specifically, yes, historically: 89% same-direction over 9 events after excluding SPOT's own earnings window and heavy market days. General day-to-day correlation is a different (weaker) question — the earnings-day link is the tradeable one.
What is a sympathy stock?
A sympathy stock moves on another company's news rather than its own — here, SPOT reacting to TKO's earnings. EarningsWatcher measures these relationships event by event and gates them for sample size, direction consistency and amplification; see the full guide to sympathy plays.