EarningsWatcher
Sympathy board · public preview

Earnings sympathy plays this week

A sympathy play trades a stock that has no earnings — through another company's report. When a reporter surprises, correlated peers reprice the same day: same sector, shared customers, a read-through. Below: this week's 54 upcoming reporters and, for each, its strongest historically-correlated peer, from 127 quality-gated pairs. Nobody else measures this — EarningsWatcher counts every pair event by event over ten years, throws out macro days and the peer's own earnings, and scores what survives. Three showcase reporters below carry full free stats; every reporter links to its own free breakdown page. New to the idea? Start with what a sympathy play is and how we measure it.

EarningsWatcher Research · Updated August 20, 2026 · Educational information, not investment advice
Key facts · cite as EarningsWatcher, August 20, 2026
  • GTLB has moved in the same direction as OKTA's earnings reaction in 79% of 14 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±5.9% — ×2.9 its normal daily move (OKTA reports Aug 26).
  • TAL has moved in the same direction as PDD's earnings reaction in 75% of 28 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±3.5% — ×2.1 its normal daily move (PDD reports Aug 24).
  • AEO has moved in the same direction as KSS's earnings reaction in 81% of 26 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±3.1% — ×1.7 its normal daily move (KSS reports Aug 26).
Source: https://earnings-watcher.com/sympathy-plays · refreshed daily from live options data · free to quote with attribution and a link.

Monday, August 24

PDDreports before open
Top sympathy peer: TAL — same direction as PDD's earnings reaction in 75% of 28 past reports, typical same-day move ±3.5% (×2.1 its normal day).
+ 5 more scored peers: FUTU, RIVN, BEKE, COIN, F
XPEVreports before open
Top sympathy peer: NIO — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the XPEV sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: SE
TUYAreports after close
Top sympathy peer: CAH — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the TUYA sympathy page →
NSSCreports before open
Top sympathy peer: NLY — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the NSSC sympathy page →

Tuesday, August 25

BZreports before open
Top sympathy peer: BEKE — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BZ sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: MA, COST
ZMreports after close
Top sympathy peer: DOCU — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the ZM sympathy page →
+ 4 more scored peers: SNOW, RNG, DKNG, PINS
QFINreports after close
Top sympathy peer: LOW — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the QFIN sympathy page →
+ 3 more scored peers: W, SE, ETSY
DKSreports before open
Top sympathy peer: ASO — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the DKS sympathy page →
EHreports before open
Top sympathy peer: MARA — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the EH sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: OPEN, AG
VIPSreports before open
Top sympathy peer: TPR — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the VIPS sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: ONON
BNSreports before open
Top sympathy peer: OPEN — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BNS sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: AEO
SMTCreports after close
Top sympathy peer: CHWY — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the SMTC sympathy page →
BMOreports before open
Top sympathy peer: BAC — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BMO sympathy page →
HEIreports after close
Top sympathy peer: U — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the HEI sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: CVS, PLTR
BOXreports after close
Top sympathy peer: BAC — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BOX sympathy page →
NCNOreports after close
Top sympathy peer: SLB — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the NCNO sympathy page →

Wednesday, August 26

OKTAreports after close
Top sympathy peer: GTLB — same direction as OKTA's earnings reaction in 79% of 14 past reports, typical same-day move ±5.9% (×2.9 its normal day).
+ 4 more scored peers: DDOG, SNOW, BILL, NET
KSSreports before open
Top sympathy peer: AEO — same direction as KSS's earnings reaction in 81% of 26 past reports, typical same-day move ±3.1% (×1.7 its normal day).
LIreports before open
Top sympathy peer: XPEV — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the LI sympathy page →
+ 4 more scored peers: GME, SOUN, JOBY, BIDU
URBNreports after close
Top sympathy peer: AEO — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the URBN sympathy page →
+ 4 more scored peers: HL, GME, LMND, MDB
DCIreports before open
Top sympathy peer: SCHW — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the DCI sympathy page →
ANFreports before open
Top sympathy peer: AEO — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the ANF sympathy page →
+ 7 more scored peers: WBD, FSLY, OPEN, RDDT, QS, ROKU, LMND
PLABreports before open
Top sympathy peer: PINS — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the PLAB sympathy page →
CRWDreports after close
Top sympathy peer: GTLB — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the CRWD sympathy page →
HPQreports after close
Top sympathy peer: ARM — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the HPQ sympathy page →
VEEVreports after close
Top sympathy peer: MDB — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the VEEV sympathy page →
+ 3 more scored peers: BILL, DDOG, GTLB
NTNXreports after close
Top sympathy peer: ZS — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the NTNX sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: VLO
TRMDreports before open
Top sympathy peer: SU — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the TRMD sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: PSX, ABNB
BBWIreports before open
Top sympathy peer: AEO — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BBWI sympathy page →
+ 3 more scored peers: NTAP, LVS, APLD
Areports after close
Top sympathy peer: RDDT — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the A sympathy page →
WSMreports before open
Top sympathy peer: BILL — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the WSM sympathy page →
SFLreports before open
Top sympathy peer: PBR — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the SFL sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: PAA, COIN
SJMreports before open
Top sympathy peer: HOOD — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the SJM sympathy page →

Thursday, August 27

PDreports after close
Top sympathy peer: MDB — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the PD sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: RRC, ZS
GAPreports after close
Top sympathy peer: UNP — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the GAP sympathy page →
TDreports before open
Top sympathy peer: U — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the TD sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: ABNB
BBARreports after close
Top sympathy peer: BA — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BBAR sympathy page →
+ 3 more scored peers: GM, STNE, LOW
BURLreports before open
Top sympathy peer: ROST — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BURL sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: STNE
ESTCreports after close
Top sympathy peer: BAC — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the ESTC sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: EOG
MBUUreports before open
Top sympathy peer: BEKE — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the MBUU sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: PDD
HRLreports before open
Top sympathy peer: LUNR — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the HRL sympathy page →
CMreports before open
Top sympathy peer: CPNG — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the CM sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: SLB
GOTUreports before open
Top sympathy peer: NU — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the GOTU sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: VALE
BBYreports before open
Top sympathy peer: ZS — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BBY sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: BILL, ZIM
WDAYreports after close
Top sympathy peer: ONON — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the WDAY sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: PINS
BILIreports before open
Top sympathy peer: XPEV — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the BILI sympathy page →
+ 3 more scored peers: CSX, RRC, Z
IRENreports after close
Top sympathy peer: PCG — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the IREN sympathy page →
RYreports before open
Top sympathy peer: PBR — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the RY sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: WBD
MRVLreports after close
Top sympathy peer: PINS — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the MRVL sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: ARM
DLTRreports before open
Top sympathy peer: SHEL — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the DLTR sympathy page →
HQYreports before open
Top sympathy peer: DASH — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the HQY sympathy page →
AFRMreports after close
Top sympathy peer: CBOE — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the AFRM sympathy page →
+ 2 more scored peers: BEKE, CVS
ULTAreports after close
Top sympathy peer: ZM — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the ULTA sympathy page →
+ 1 more scored peer: ZIM
Sreports after close
Top sympathy peer: ASAN — same direction ▮▮% of ▮▮ reports, typical move ±▮.▮%free breakdown on the S sympathy page →
The board members trade from goes further for every pair: a 0–100 quality score, the peer's live ATM straddle with a 1-day breakeven (what the move must beat by the reaction-day close), how often past events beat that hurdle — from real historical option prices — direction splits, and the gap-vs-peak split (how much of the move is gone by the open). Plus the top pairs surface as ready P0/P1/P2 ideas in Data Picks. The key advantage over trading the reporter itself: the peer's options carry no event premium, so there is no IV crush to pay. See member plans →

How to read this board

"Same direction" is the share of the reporter's past earnings days where the peer's close-to-close move had the same sign as the reporter's reaction. Events on days the peer had its own earnings (±1 day) or the market moved more than 1.5% are excluded, so the correlation is to the report, not the tape. Pairs must pass sample-size, hit-rate and amplification gates to appear at all — most candidate pairs don't. History is not a prediction; sympathies weaken and invert.

Trade the report without the IV crush

Scored pairs, live peer straddles with honest 1-day breakevens, historical beat rates from real option prices, and the week's best pairs delivered as picks.

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