Palantir (PLTR) has a heating two-year regime (±15.1% vs ±13.0% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 23, 2026 (MCP peak move, 10y defaults).
PLTR earnings at a glance
PLTR’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±17.0%, with the last two years at ±15.1% (heating). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±30.9%.
Does PLTR beat its implied move?
The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. PLTR’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 71% of recent reports with tracked implieds (12 of 17).
history
How PLTR’s moves are distributed
Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.
Recent PLTR earnings
Headline (MCP): PLTR averages a ±13% earnings move over the last 10 years (peak intraday; n=23). Recent prints swing hard both ways — May 2026 peaked near −7.7% vs ~9.6% implied.
IV rush and IV crush on PLTR
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What PLTR’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app. A straddle or strangle needs the actual move to exceed the implied to pay; an iron condor needs it smaller.
- According to EarningsWatcher data, options price a ±12.6% move for PLTR's November 2, 2026 earnings report (as of October 21, 2026).
- PLTR has averaged a ±17.0% earnings-day move across its last 24 reports (10-year history, per EarningsWatcher).
- PLTR's actual earnings move exceeded the options-implied move in 71% of those reports.
Frequently asked questions
When is Palantir (PLTR) earnings date?
Palantir reported on Monday, August 3, 2026, after the market close.
What is PLTR's implied move for earnings August 3, 2026?
Options priced a plus or minus 12.2% move into the August 3, 2026 report. The stock then moved up 30.9% at its intraday peak and finished up 29.5% at the close.
How much does PLTR move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, PLTR's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 13.0%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 15.1%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 27.7%.
Does PLTR usually beat its implied move?
About 71% of recent reports with tracked implieds (12 of 17).