- PLTR has moved in the same direction as JEF's earnings reaction in 74% of 19 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±2.8% — ×1.4 its normal daily move.
- EarningsWatcher tracks 4 quality-gated sympathy peers for JEF: PLTR, ROKU, ZM, WBD.
- When JEF's earnings reaction is positive, PLTR's median same-day move is +3.8%; when negative, -1.0%.
All measured sympathy peers for JEF
Every peer below passed the gates — enough events, direction consistency well above a coin flip, and a move meaningfully bigger than its normal day. Nobody else publishes this measurement; it exists because EarningsWatcher computes it from every JEF report, with the peer's own earnings days and heavy market days excluded.
| Peer | Same direction | Typical move | vs normal day | Sympathy score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | 74% of 19 | ±2.8% | ×1.4 | ▮▮ |
| ROKU | ▮▮% of ▮▮ | ±▮.▮% | ×▮.▮ | ▮▮ |
| ZM | ▮▮% of ▮▮ | ±▮.▮% | ×▮.▮ | ▮▮ |
| WBD | ▮▮% of ▮▮ | ±▮.▮% | ×▮.▮ | ▮▮ |
- the 0–100 sympathy score for each pair (direction consistency + amplification + correlation, discounted for small samples)
- each peer's live ATM straddle with an honest 1-day breakeven — the move it must beat by the reaction-day close
- historical beat rates from real option prices: how often past JEF reports beat that same hurdle
- direction splits, gap-vs-peak timing, and an event-by-event history for every pair
- the week's best pairs delivered as P0/P1/P2 sympathy picks
Why trade the peer instead of JEF itself?
Options on JEF are expensive into the print — the expected move is priced in, and implied volatility collapses the moment results land. PLTR has no event that day: its options are priced for a normal session, and measured across our pairs the median change in peer IV through a reporter's print is roughly zero. The sympathy trade turns JEF's report into a position with a normal-day hurdle instead of an event-premium hurdle. New to the concept? Read what a sympathy play is, then see this week's live boardor the JEF implied-move page.
Frequently asked questions
Which stocks move when JEF reports earnings?
Measured over up to ten years of JEF's earnings days, the strongest sympathy peer is PLTR: same direction as JEF's reaction in 74% of 19 tracked reports, median same-day move ±2.8%. Other quality-gated peers: ROKU, ZM, WBD — their full statistics are on the member board.
Are stocks like JEF worth watching on its earnings day?
That is exactly what a sympathy play is: JEF's report reprices companies with the same customers and economics, so 'stocks like JEF' often move the same day — without an earnings event of their own. The size is usually smaller than JEF's own move (PLTR: ±2.8% vs a normal day ×1.4), but the peer's options carry no event premium, so there is no IV crush to pay.
Is PLTR correlated with JEF?
On JEF's earnings days specifically, yes, historically: 74% same-direction over 19 events after excluding PLTR's own earnings window and heavy market days. General day-to-day correlation is a different (weaker) question — the earnings-day link is the tradeable one.
What is a sympathy stock?
A sympathy stock moves on another company's news rather than its own — here, PLTR reacting to JEF's earnings. EarningsWatcher measures these relationships event by event and gates them for sample size, direction consistency and amplification; see the full guide to sympathy plays.