- MTCH has moved in the same direction as BX's earnings reaction in 71% of 34 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±1.8% — ×1.4 its normal daily move.
- EarningsWatcher tracks 1 quality-gated sympathy peers for BX: MTCH.
- When BX's earnings reaction is positive, MTCH's median same-day move is +0.5%; when negative, -1.3%.
All measured sympathy peers for BX
Every peer below passed the gates — enough events, direction consistency well above a coin flip, and a move meaningfully bigger than its normal day. Nobody else publishes this measurement; it exists because EarningsWatcher computes it from every BX report, with the peer's own earnings days and heavy market days excluded.
| Peer | Same direction | Typical move | vs normal day | Sympathy score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTCH | 71% of 34 | ±1.8% | ×1.4 | ▮▮ |
- the 0–100 sympathy score for each pair (direction consistency + amplification + correlation, discounted for small samples)
- each peer's live ATM straddle with an honest 1-day breakeven — the move it must beat by the reaction-day close
- historical beat rates from real option prices: how often past BX reports beat that same hurdle
- direction splits, gap-vs-peak timing, and an event-by-event history for every pair
- the week's best pairs delivered as P0/P1/P2 sympathy picks
Why trade the peer instead of BX itself?
Options on BX are expensive into the print — the expected move is priced in, and implied volatility collapses the moment results land. MTCH has no event that day: its options are priced for a normal session, and measured across our pairs the median change in peer IV through a reporter's print is roughly zero. The sympathy trade turns BX's report into a position with a normal-day hurdle instead of an event-premium hurdle. New to the concept? Read what a sympathy play is, then see this week's live boardor the BX implied-move page.
Frequently asked questions
Which stocks move when BX reports earnings?
Measured over up to ten years of BX's earnings days, the strongest sympathy peer is MTCH: same direction as BX's reaction in 71% of 34 tracked reports, median same-day move ±1.8%.
Are stocks like BX worth watching on its earnings day?
That is exactly what a sympathy play is: BX's report reprices companies with the same customers and economics, so 'stocks like BX' often move the same day — without an earnings event of their own. The size is usually smaller than BX's own move (MTCH: ±1.8% vs a normal day ×1.4), but the peer's options carry no event premium, so there is no IV crush to pay.
Is MTCH correlated with BX?
On BX's earnings days specifically, yes, historically: 71% same-direction over 34 events after excluding MTCH's own earnings window and heavy market days. General day-to-day correlation is a different (weaker) question — the earnings-day link is the tradeable one.
What is a sympathy stock?
A sympathy stock moves on another company's news rather than its own — here, MTCH reacting to BX's earnings. EarningsWatcher measures these relationships event by event and gates them for sample size, direction consistency and amplification; see the full guide to sympathy plays.