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After the print · Tapestry

TPR Stock After Earnings: Up 81% of the Time, Fades 38% (Tapestry)

What does TPR stock do after earnings? Over its last 16 tracked reports, Tapestry closed higher 13 times and lower 3 times on earnings day, with an average close move of ±7.1% — and the intraday peak faded into the close 38% of the time. History is not a forecast; it is the base rate the options market is pricing against. Tapestry's next earnings date is not confirmed yet; the TPR implied-move page updates the moment it is.

EarningsWatcher Research · Updated August 18, 2026 · Educational information, not investment advice
Closed up
13/16
81% of tracked reports
Avg close move
±7.1%
close-to-close, earnings day
Peak faded
38%
intraday high not held into close
Range
-15.7% / +15.5%
worst / best close (Aug 14, 2025 / May 12, 2022)

TPR's last five earnings reactions

ReportOptions pricedClose movePeak moveHeld or faded?
May 7, 2026±9.3%-12.3%-13.5%held
Feb 5, 2026±9.9%+10.2%+11.9%held
Nov 6, 2025±8.2%-9.6%-14.9%held
Aug 14, 2025±7.5%-15.7%-18.4%held
May 8, 2025±6.5%+3.7%+8.3%faded

"Options priced" is the implied move going into the report; "close" and "peak" are the earnings-day close-to-close and peak intraday moves. "Faded" = the close gave back more than half of the peak, or reversed sign. Full implied-vs-actual history and the live implied move: TPR data page.

What TPR did in the weeks after each report

The earnings-day close is only the start. DriftLab follows every Tapestry release out to sixty sessions, measured off the last close before the print — here are the two most recent, exactly as members see them; in 7 of the last 15 reports the stock was further in the direction of its earnings-day close thirty sessions later.

ReportReaction close+3d+7d+15d+30d+60dDrift
May 7, 2026-12.3%-11.5%-11.9%-2.3%+0.2%+4.8%mild
Feb 5, 2026+10.2%+17.9%+18.4%+19.7%+8.4%+7.6%high
Nov 6, 2025▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮▮
Aug 14, 2025▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮▮
May 8, 2025▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮.▮%▮▮▮
All 15 Tapestry releases, plus the three numbers that summarise them — the Follow-Through score, the Gap-Fill probability and the PEAD score — are in DriftLab. That is where "will it keep going?" gets a measured answer: DriftLab also draws the current run against the projected drift into the next report and lists which upcoming names have the strongest drift profiles (the "runners" picks). Members only. See member plans →

Why "good earnings" can still mean a red day

Before the report, options price the size of the expected move — the implied move — and the stock itself is priced for the market's expectations of results and guidance. The reaction is not to the numbers in isolation but to how they compare with what was already priced. That is why TPR can beat estimates and fall, or miss and rise; and why the honest question is not "were the numbers good?" but "how far did the stock move against what options priced, and did it hold?" — which is what the season tracker follows for every notable name.

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Frequently asked questions

Will TPR stock go up after earnings?

Nobody can know in advance. What history says: over 16 tracked reports Tapestry closed higher on earnings day 13 times and lower 3 times, with an average close move of ±7.1%. The options market prices the expected size of the move, not its direction.

Why does TPR stock drop (or jump) after earnings even on good numbers?

Because the stock is priced for expectations, not results. Options price a move of a certain size beforehand; the reaction reflects how results and guidance compare with what was already priced in, plus the unwinding of positioning around the event. A beat can still be a disappointment relative to expectations.

Does TPR's earnings move usually hold or fade?

In 6 of 16 tracked reports the earnings-day peak faded meaningfully into the close. Whether the move continues over the following days is what EarningsWatcher's DriftLab measures for members (follow-through, gap-fill probability, post-earnings drift).

How much does TPR usually move on earnings?

On average about ±10.3% at the peak of earnings day over the last 10 years, with an average close-to-close move of ±7.1% across the tracked reports on this page.

Trade the reaction with the full picture

Live implied move, 10 years of implied-vs-actual history, DriftLab follow-through and drift readings, and a simulator to rehearse the position before you risk it.

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