- IREN has moved in the same direction as GEV's earnings reaction in 100% of 9 tracked reports, with a median same-day move of ±6.1% — ×1.5 its normal daily move.
- EarningsWatcher tracks 3 quality-gated sympathy peers for GEV: IREN, CRSP, S.
- When GEV's earnings reaction is positive, IREN's median same-day move is +7.1%; when negative, -5.3%.
All measured sympathy peers for GEV
Every peer below passed the gates — enough events, direction consistency well above a coin flip, and a move meaningfully bigger than its normal day. Nobody else publishes this measurement; it exists because EarningsWatcher computes it from every GEV report, with the peer's own earnings days and heavy market days excluded.
| Peer | Same direction | Typical move | vs normal day | Sympathy score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IREN | 100% of 9 | ±6.1% | ×1.5 | ▮▮ |
| CRSP | ▮▮% of ▮▮ | ±▮.▮% | ×▮.▮ | ▮▮ |
| S | ▮▮% of ▮▮ | ±▮.▮% | ×▮.▮ | ▮▮ |
- the 0–100 sympathy score for each pair (direction consistency + amplification + correlation, discounted for small samples)
- each peer's live ATM straddle with an honest 1-day breakeven — the move it must beat by the reaction-day close
- historical beat rates from real option prices: how often past GEV reports beat that same hurdle
- direction splits, gap-vs-peak timing, and an event-by-event history for every pair
- the week's best pairs delivered as P0/P1/P2 sympathy picks
Why trade the peer instead of GEV itself?
Options on GEV are expensive into the print — the expected move is priced in, and implied volatility collapses the moment results land. IREN has no event that day: its options are priced for a normal session, and measured across our pairs the median change in peer IV through a reporter's print is roughly zero. The sympathy trade turns GEV's report into a position with a normal-day hurdle instead of an event-premium hurdle. New to the concept? Read what a sympathy play is, then see this week's live boardor the GEV implied-move page.
Frequently asked questions
Which stocks move when GEV reports earnings?
Measured over up to ten years of GEV's earnings days, the strongest sympathy peer is IREN: same direction as GEV's reaction in 100% of 9 tracked reports, median same-day move ±6.1%. Other quality-gated peers: CRSP, S — their full statistics are on the member board.
Are stocks like GEV worth watching on its earnings day?
That is exactly what a sympathy play is: GEV's report reprices companies with the same customers and economics, so 'stocks like GEV' often move the same day — without an earnings event of their own. The size is usually smaller than GEV's own move (IREN: ±6.1% vs a normal day ×1.5), but the peer's options carry no event premium, so there is no IV crush to pay.
Is IREN correlated with GEV?
On GEV's earnings days specifically, yes, historically: 100% same-direction over 9 events after excluding IREN's own earnings window and heavy market days. General day-to-day correlation is a different (weaker) question — the earnings-day link is the tradeable one.
What is a sympathy stock?
A sympathy stock moves on another company's news rather than its own — here, IREN reacting to GEV's earnings. EarningsWatcher measures these relationships event by event and gates them for sample size, direction consistency and amplification; see the full guide to sympathy plays.
