Oracle (ORCL) has a heating two-year regime (±16.8% vs ±10.0% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 23, 2026 (MCP peak move, 10y defaults).
ORCL earnings at a glance
ORCL’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±10.0%, with the last two years at ±16.8% (heating). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±19.8%.
Does ORCL beat its implied move?
The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. ORCL’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 62% of recent reports with tracked implieds (10 of 16).
How ORCL’s moves are distributed
Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.
Recent ORCL earnings
Headline (MCP): ORCL averages a ±10% earnings move over the last 10 years (peak; n=40). Two-year average ±16.8% — a sharp heating regime (including a +43% peak outlier in Sep 2025).
IV rush and IV crush on ORCL
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What ORCL’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app. A straddle or strangle needs the actual move to exceed the implied to pay; an iron condor needs it smaller.
Frequently asked questions
When is Oracle (ORCL) next earnings date?
Not yet confirmed in the EarningsWatcher dataset as of July 23, 2026. Check the live calendar in the app as companies confirm — typically within ~3 weeks of the print.
What is ORCL's implied move for earnings?
The implied move only firms up as a confirmed earnings date approaches. Recent history: average move about plus or minus 10.0%. Check the live figure in the app when the next date is set.
How much does ORCL move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, ORCL's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 10.0%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 16.8%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 19.8%.
Does ORCL usually beat its implied move?
About 62% of recent reports with tracked implieds (10 of 16).