IBM is a moderate-to-high earnings mover with a heating two-year regime (±9.5% vs ±7.0% decade) and a strong historical beat rate. Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 16, 2026.
IBM earnings at a glance
IBM’s decade average is about ±7.0%; the last two years average about ±9.5%. The 95th-percentile tail is about ±12.0%.
Does IBM beat its implied move?
IBM’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 81% of recent reports (13 of 16) — one of the higher beat rates among mega-cap tech/hardware names.
avgs
How IBM’s moves are distributed
The distribution is moderate with a heating upper half: most prints stay under ±9.5%, but recent quarters have clustered hotter.
Recent IBM earnings
April 2026 peaked near −12.0% vs ~±8.3% implied. January 2026 peaked near +8.8% vs ~±6.5% implied — both beats.
IV rush and IV crush on IBM
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What IBM’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied in the EarningsWatcher app.
Frequently asked questions
When is IBM earnings date in July 2026?
IBM is scheduled to report Q2 2026 results on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, after the market close (AMC).
What is IBM's implied move for earnings July 22, 2026?
As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near plus or minus 8.0% — between the plus or minus 7.0% decade average and the plus or minus 9.5% two-year average.
How much does IBM move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, IBM's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 7.0%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 9.5%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 12.0%.
Does IBM usually beat its implied move?
Often. IBM's actual peak move has topped its options-implied move in about 81% of recent reports (roughly 13 of 16).