Intel (INTC) is a high-dispersion mega-cap semiconductor print with a heating two-year regime (±14.5% vs ±9.7% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour based on the last 10 years of peak earnings-day moves, as of July 16, 2026.
INTC earnings at a glance
INTC’s decade average is about ±9.7%, but the last two years run much hotter at ±14.5%. The 95th-percentile tail reaches about ±18.2%; April 2026 peaked near +27.6% against ~±14.8% implied.
Does INTC beat its implied move?
The implied move is what options price in before the report. INTC’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 69% of recent reports (11 of 16).
2yr avg
How INTC’s moves are distributed
The distribution is wide and heating: four in five moves stay under roughly ±14.5%, but the upper tail regularly produces double-digit gaps.
Recent INTC earnings
April 2026 peaked near +27.6% vs ~±14.8% implied. January 2026 peaked near −18.2% vs ~±9.1% implied — both cleared what options priced in.
IV rush and IV crush on INTC
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What INTC’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app.
Frequently asked questions
When is Intel (INTC) earnings date in July 2026?
Intel is scheduled to report Q2 2026 results on Thursday, July 23, 2026, after the market close (AMC).
What is INTC's implied move for earnings July 23, 2026?
As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near plus or minus 15.2% — close to the plus or minus 14.5% two-year average.
How much does INTC move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, Intel's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 9.7%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 14.5%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 18.2%.
Does INTC usually beat its implied move?
More often than not. INTC's actual peak move has topped its options-implied move in about 69% of recent reports (roughly 11 of 16).