Intel (INTC) is a high-dispersion mega-cap semiconductor print with a heating two-year regime (±13.8% vs ±9.7% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour based on the last 10 years of peak earnings-day moves, as of July 16, 2026.
INTC earnings at a glance
INTC’s decade average is about ±9.7%, but the last two years run much hotter at ±13.8%. The 95th-percentile tail reaches about ±18.2%; April 2026 peaked near +27.6% against ~±14.8% implied.
Does INTC beat its implied move?
The implied move is what options price in before the report. INTC’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 69% of recent reports (11 of 16).
2yr avg
How INTC’s moves are distributed
The distribution is wide and heating: four in five moves stay under roughly ±13.8%, but the upper tail regularly produces double-digit gaps.
Recent INTC earnings
July 23, 2026 peaked near −8.6% (vs ~±15% print-week implied). April 2026 peaked near +27.6% vs ~±14.8% implied; January 2026 near −18.2% vs ~±9.1%.
IV rush and IV crush on INTC
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What INTC’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app.
Frequently asked questions
When is Intel (INTC) earnings date in July 2026?
Intel reported Q2 2026 results on Thursday, July 23, 2026, after the market close (AMC).
What was INTC's peak move on July 23, 2026?
About plus or minus 8.6% peak intraday — under the richer roughly plus or minus 15% print-week implied.
What was INTC's implied move into earnings July 23, 2026?
Into the July 23, 2026 print the options market had been pricing near plus or minus 15%; the actual peak was about plus or minus 8.6% — close to the plus or minus 13.8% two-year average.
How much does INTC move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, Intel's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 9.7%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 13.8%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 18.2%.
Does INTC usually beat its implied move?
More often than not. INTC's actual peak move has topped its options-implied move in about 69% of recent reports (roughly 11 of 16).