Texas Instruments (TXN) is a heating semiconductor name — two-year average ±9.9% vs ±6.2% decade — with a coin-flip long-run beat rate but recent huge overshoots. Data as of July 16, 2026.
TXN earnings at a glance
TXN’s decade average is about ±6.2%; the last two years average about ±9.9%. The historical 95th-percentile is about ±10.1% — and the live implied near ±11.2% prices above that band.
Does TXN beat its implied move?
TXN’s actual peak has topped the implied in about 50% of recent reports (8 of 16), but the last two prints were dramatic beats (+20.2% and +10.1%).
history
How TXN’s moves are distributed
The decade distribution looks moderate, but recent quarters (including +20.2% in April 2026) show the heating regime can overshoot hard.
Recent TXN earnings
April 2026 peaked near +20.2% vs ~±7.1% implied. January 2026 peaked near +10.1% vs ~±7.6% implied.
IV rush and IV crush on TXN
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What TXN’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied in the EarningsWatcher app.
Frequently asked questions
When is Texas Instruments (TXN) earnings date in July 2026?
TXN is scheduled to report on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, after the market close (AMC).
What is TXN's implied move for earnings July 22, 2026?
As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near plus or minus 11.2% — above the plus or minus 9.9% two-year average and above the historical 95th-percentile band.
How much does TXN move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, TXN's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 6.2%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 9.9%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 10.1%.
Does TXN usually beat its implied move?
About half the time over the longer recent sample (roughly 8 of 16), though the last two prints were large beats.