CRM live implied move & 10Y history → · CRM stock after earnings → · Who is on the IV Rush Radar this week → · How the IV rush trade works →
How CRM's implied volatility ramps into the print
The IV Rush Radar records at-the-money IV twice a day for the last five sessions before every Salesforce report. Its most recent release (May 27, 2026) looked like this — IV at each 4pm close, versus the -5d morning reading of 79%:
| Session | ATM IV | vs -5d open |
|---|---|---|
| -5d 4pm | 77% | -2% |
| -4d 4pm | 78% | -1% |
| -3d 4pm | 78% | -1% |
| -2d 4pm | 114% | +46% |
| -1d 4pm | 144% | +83% |
Across all 7 tracked reports the five-session ramp averaged +90% and the last day alone +20%.
| Report | IV at -5d | IV at last close | Ramp |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | 79% | 144% | +83% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | ▮▮% | ▮▮▮% | +▮▮% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | ▮▮% | ▮▮▮% | +▮▮% |
| May 28, 2025 | ▮▮% | ▮▮▮% | +▮▮% |
Why "just buy calls before earnings" usually loses even when you're right
Everything the market expects is already in the premium: implied volatility peaks at the last close before the report and collapses the moment the numbers are out. A call bought the night before needs the stock to move more than the implied move in the right direction just to break even — a smaller-than-priced move loses money on both calls and puts. Our IV crush guide walks through the mechanics; the expected-move calculator turns a straddle price into the break-even you'd need.
Buying the CRM straddle at the last close and holding through: 4 of 15 paid
The backtester replays a long ATM straddle entered at the last close before each of Salesforce's last 15 reports and marked at the reaction-day close — real contract prices, not theory. Long vol won 4 of 15; short vol is the mirror image.
| Report | Straddle at entry | At reaction close | Long-vol P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | $15.65 | $4.07 | -74% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $13.93 | $5.76 | -59% |
| Dec 3, 2025 | $▮▮.▮▮ | $▮▮.▮▮ | ▮▮% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | $▮▮.▮▮ | $▮▮.▮▮ | ▮▮% |
| May 28, 2025 | $▮▮.▮▮ | $▮▮.▮▮ | ▮▮% |
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy CRM before earnings?
That is a decision only you can make, and this page does not give advice. What the data says: options price a move of ±8.8% for the Aug 26, 2026 report, so a long call or put needs Salesforce to move more than that in the right direction to profit after IV crush. Implied volatility has climbed +90% on average over the final five sessions, which is why some traders trade the ramp itself and exit before the print.
Does CRM implied volatility go up before earnings?
Usually. Across Salesforce's last 7 reports at-the-money IV rose into the print 7 times, averaging +90% from five sessions out to the last close, with the last day alone averaging +20%. Into its May 27, 2026 report IV went from 79% to 144%.
When does CRM IV peak before earnings?
At the last close before the report — the final session before the print carries the biggest step for most names, which is why an IV-rush trade is exited before that close and never held through the announcement.
What is CRM's implied move for the next earnings?
Options currently price about ±8.8% for Aug 26, 2026 (after market close); the 10-year average move is about ±7.5%.
