EarningsWatcher
Home Wiki ARM Earnings Options
Ticker playbook

Arm Holdings (ARM) Earnings Date & Expected Move (July 29, 2026)

Arm Holdings (ARM) reports earnings on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, after the market close. The options market is pricing a move of about ±19.6% — here’s the move history, beat rate and what it means for options.

EarningsWatcher Research 7 min read Data as of July 2026 · Education, not advice
Earnings date ARM’s earnings date is July 29, 2026 (after market close). Live implied move: ±19.6%. See the weekly earnings calendar.

Arm Holdings (ARM) is a late-July 2026 earnings name with a cooling two-year regime (±10.2% vs ±14.2% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 16, 2026.

ARM earnings at a glance

±14.2%
Avg move (10yr)
peak, day of release
±10.2%
Avg move (2yr)
regime: cooling
±64.4%
95th-pct tail
outliers still possible

ARM’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±14.2%, with the last two years at ±10.2% (cooling). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±64.4%.

Does ARM beat its implied move?

The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. ARM’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 36% of recent reports (4 of 11).

~36%
Beat rate
actual > implied (4 of 11)
Rich vs
history
Near-term pricing
live ~19.6% vs ~14.2% avg
What this implies Heading into July 29, 2026, the live implied move has been pricing near ±19.6% — compare that to the ±14.2% decade average and ±10.2% two-year mark.

How ARM’s moves are distributed

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 10-yr avg ±14.2% ±4.0% 5th ±6.5% 20th ±10.0% median ±18.0% 80th ±64.4% 95th
The spread of ARM’s earnings-day peak moves. The 95th-percentile worst case is about ±64.4%.

Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.

Recent ARM earnings

May 2026 peaked near −11.4% vs ~±13.7% implied. February 2026 peaked near +9.7% vs ~±9.3% implied. Tail risk is extreme.

See the full history The complete report-by-report record — every past implied vs actual move, open/peak/close behaviour and post-earnings drift, plus the live implied move as the next date approaches — lives in the EarningsWatcher app.

IV rush and IV crush on ARM

Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).

What ARM’s earnings data means for options

These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app.

On the “next” implied move Arm Holdings is scheduled to report July 29, 2026 (after market close). As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near ±19.6%.

Frequently asked questions

When is Arm Holdings (ARM) earnings date in July 2026?

Arm Holdings is scheduled to report on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, after the market close. Confirm the exact time on a live earnings calendar.

What is ARM's implied move for earnings July 29, 2026?

As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near plus or minus 19.6%.

How much does ARM move on earnings?

Over the last 10 years, ARM's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 14.2%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 10.2%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 64.4%.

Does ARM usually beat its implied move?

About 36% of recent reports with tracked implieds (4 of 11).

See ARM’s live earnings data

Get Arm Holdings’s July 29 report date, live implied move and full move history.

Open ARM in the app →