Arm Holdings (ARM) is a late-July 2026 earnings name with a cooling two-year regime (±10.2% vs ±14.2% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 28, 2026.
ARM earnings at a glance
ARM’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±14.6%, with the last two years at ±10.2% (cooling). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±19.4%.
Does ARM beat its implied move?
The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. ARM’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 42% of recent reports (5 of 12).
history
How ARM’s moves are distributed
Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.
Recent ARM earnings
May 2026 peaked near −11.4% vs ±13.7% implied. February 2026 peaked near +9.7% vs ±9.3% implied. Tail risk is extreme.
IV rush and IV crush on ARM
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What ARM’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app.
- Options had priced a ±12.0% move going into ARM's July 29, 2026 earnings report.
- ARM has averaged a ±14.6% earnings-day move across its last 12 reports (10-year history, per EarningsWatcher).
- ARM's actual earnings move exceeded the options-implied move in 42% of those reports.
Frequently asked questions
When is Arm Holdings (ARM) earnings date in July 2026?
Arm Holdings reported on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, after the market close.
What is ARM's implied move for earnings July 29, 2026?
Options priced a plus or minus 12.0% move into the July 29, 2026 report. The stock then moved up 19.4% at its intraday peak and finished up 7.4% at the close.
How much does ARM move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, ARM's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 14.2%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 10.2%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 64.4%.
Does ARM usually beat its implied move?
About 42% of recent reports with tracked implieds (5 of 12).