EarningsWatcher
Home Wiki PYPL Earnings Options
Ticker playbook

PayPal (PYPL) Earnings Date & Expected Move (July 28, 2026)

PayPal (PYPL) reports earnings on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, before the market open. The options market is pricing a move of about ±8.9% — here’s the move history, beat rate and what it means for options.

EarningsWatcher Research 7 min read Data as of July 2026 · Education, not advice
Earnings date PYPL’s earnings date is July 28, 2026 (before market open). Live implied move: ±8.9%. See the weekly earnings calendar.

PayPal (PYPL) is a late-July 2026 earnings name with a heating two-year regime (±11.4% vs ±9.3% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 16, 2026.

PYPL earnings at a glance

±9.3%
Avg move (10yr)
peak, day of release
±11.4%
Avg move (2yr)
regime: heating
±14.7%
95th-pct tail
outliers still possible

PYPL’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±9.3%, with the last two years at ±11.4% (heating). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±14.7%.

Does PYPL beat its implied move?

The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. PYPL’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 62% of recent reports (10 of 16).

~62%
Beat rate
actual > implied (10 of 16)
Near
history
Near-term pricing
live ~8.9% vs ~9.3% avg
What this implies Heading into July 28, 2026, the live implied move has been pricing near ±8.9% — compare that to the ±9.3% decade average and ±11.4% two-year mark.

How PYPL’s moves are distributed

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 10-yr avg ±9.3% ±3.5% 5th ±5.5% 20th ±8.5% median ±12.0% 80th ±14.7% 95th
The spread of PYPL’s earnings-day peak moves. The 95th-percentile worst case is about ±14.7%.

Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.

Recent PYPL earnings

February 2026 peaked near −20.8% vs ~±9.4% implied. May 2026 peaked near −11.7% vs ~±9.3% implied.

See the full history The complete report-by-report record — every past implied vs actual move, open/peak/close behaviour and post-earnings drift, plus the live implied move as the next date approaches — lives in the EarningsWatcher app.

IV rush and IV crush on PYPL

Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).

What PYPL’s earnings data means for options

These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app.

On the “next” implied move PayPal is scheduled to report July 28, 2026 (before market open). As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near ±8.9%.

Frequently asked questions

When is PayPal (PYPL) earnings date in July 2026?

PayPal is scheduled to report on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, before the market open. Confirm the exact time on a live earnings calendar.

What is PYPL's implied move for earnings July 28, 2026?

As of July 16, 2026 the live implied move has been pricing near plus or minus 8.9%.

How much does PYPL move on earnings?

Over the last 10 years, PYPL's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 9.3%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 11.4%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 14.7%.

Does PYPL usually beat its implied move?

About 62% of recent reports with tracked implieds (10 of 16).

See PYPL’s live earnings data

Get PayPal’s July 28 report date, live implied move and full move history.

Open PYPL in the app →