PayPal (PYPL) is a late-July 2026 earnings name with a heating two-year regime (±11.4% vs ±9.3% decade). Below is its earnings behaviour as of July 16, 2026.
PYPL earnings at a glance
PYPL’s decade-long average earnings move is about ±9.2%, with the last two years at ±11.4% (heating). The 95th-percentile tail is about ±14.7%.
Does PYPL beat its implied move?
The implied move is what the options market prices in before the report. PYPL’s actual peak move has topped the implied in about 59% of recent reports (10 of 17).
history
How PYPL’s moves are distributed
Use the live implied move against this distribution rather than a single average.
Recent PYPL earnings
February 2026 peaked near −20.8% vs ~±9.4% implied. May 2026 peaked near −11.7% vs ~±9.3% implied.
IV rush and IV crush on PYPL
Implied volatility builds into the report (the IV rush) and collapses afterward (the IV crush).
What PYPL’s earnings data means for options
These figures are a reference point, not a signal. Compare the live implied move in the EarningsWatcher app.
- According to EarningsWatcher data, options price a ±8.6% move for PYPL's October 27, 2026 earnings report (as of October 13, 2026).
- PYPL has averaged a ±9.2% earnings-day move across its last 40 reports (10-year history, per EarningsWatcher).
- PYPL's actual earnings move exceeded the options-implied move in 59% of those reports.
Frequently asked questions
When is PayPal (PYPL) earnings date in July 2026?
PayPal reported on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, before the market open.
What is PYPL's implied move for earnings July 28, 2026?
Options priced a plus or minus 8.8% move into the July 28, 2026 report. The stock then moved up 4.9% at its intraday peak and finished up 4.0% at the close.
How much does PYPL move on earnings?
Over the last 10 years, PYPL's average earnings-day peak move was about plus or minus 9.3%, with the last two years averaging about plus or minus 11.4%. The 95th-percentile move is about plus or minus 14.7%.
Does PYPL usually beat its implied move?
About 59% of recent reports with tracked implieds (10 of 17).