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IV Rush Strategy: A 65.7% Win-Rate Recap

The IV Rush trade doesn’t bet on earnings direction at all. It captures the volatility run-up before the report — and exits before the dice are rolled. Here’s the full record.

EarningsWatcher Research 5 min read Past performance ≠ future results

In the days leading into an earnings report, implied volatility tends to rise as traders bid up options to hedge or speculate on the event. The IV Rush strategy is built to harvest that predictable run-up — without ever holding through the announcement.

How the trade works

IV earnings report enter exit (IV peak) IV crush
The IV Rush trade rides the pre-earnings volatility ramp and exits at the peak — before the crush.

The full record

67
Total signals
65.7%
Win rate (44 W / 23 L)
+7.1%
Avg win
−5.8%
Avg loss
+27.4%
Best trade
−16.0%
Worst trade

The numbers tell a clear story: a solid 65.7% win rate, with the average winner (+7.1%) edging out the average loser (−5.8%). Because positions are closed before earnings, the tails stay tight — the worst trade was just −16.0%, a far cry from the open-ended risk of holding through a report.

Why exit early? Holding a long-volatility position through earnings exposes you to the IV crush, which usually destroys premium faster than the stock move can rebuild it. The IV Rush trade deliberately collects the easy, repeatable part of the move and steps aside before the coin flip.

From the community

Every IV Rush signal is forward-tracked in our Discord — posted before the outcome is known. A few member results from the run:

Important These are real but selected member outcomes and a forward-tracked signal record, not a guarantee. Results vary with entry timing, fills and sizing. Options can lose value quickly; trade small and on your own analysis.

Frequently asked questions

What is the IV Rush strategy?

IV Rush is a delta-neutral trade that captures the rise in implied volatility during the roughly 48-hour run-up before an earnings report. You enter a straddle or strangle, profit as IV lifts the premium, and exit before the report to avoid IV crush.

What was the IV Rush strategy win rate?

Across 67 forward-tracked signals the win rate was 65.7% (44 wins, 23 losses). The average win was +7.1% and the average loss −5.8%, with the best trade +27.4% and the worst −16.0%.

Why exit before earnings instead of holding through?

Holding a long-volatility position through the report exposes you to IV crush, which usually destroys premium faster than the stock move can rebuild it. Exiting at the IV peak collects the repeatable part of the move and keeps losses small.

Catch the next IV run-up

Use the IV Rush Radar to spot pre-earnings volatility ramps and plan delta-neutral entries.

Explore the tools →